Economic Downturn Magnitude and Duration Quantitative Study by Riskope (http://www.riskope.com), November 2008


Rational and sustainable risk management requires quantitative understanding of the crisis.

Duration Probabilities:
•30% less than 1.5 years (Spring 2010),
•80% less than 3 years (Fall 2011).
•10% longer than 6 years (past 2014)

Magnitude Probabilities:
•20% present situation will persist.
•25% significant worsening
•55% critical evolution of disservice

Details available upon request (http://www.riskope.com ).
These results can help building rational risk management strategies. Contact us.

Franco & Cesar Oboni
Riskope International